Surya D. Pathak  

 Research Associate, Systems and Decision Making Group,
Lecturer, Engineering Management Program,
Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.

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VU Station B #351831
2301 Vanderbilt Place
Nashville, Tennessee
37235-1831
 

Tel (Cell):615-275-8519
Fax (O):615-322-3365

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Supply chain management is becoming an increasingly critical area in the operations management discipline. In practice, supply chains, or networks, are composed of a large number of firms, from multiple inter-related industries, that maintain both local and global objectives within a dynamic environment. One of my primary research interest is in investigating supply networks as complex, dynamic, and evolving systems, and approaching the buyer-supplier relationship issues from an evolutionary angle. Along with fundamental Supply Network research, I am simultaneosuly developing policy design frameowrks for complex large scale network based systems that include supply networks, transportaion networks,telecommunication networks, emergency response networks and healthcare networks. Thus my reserach is positioned at the interface of Supply Chain Management and Decision Sciences.

Complex Adaptive Supply Networks

As part of my dissertation research titled; “An investigative framework for studying the growth and evolution dynamics of supply networks (SN)”, I focused on the dynamic growth aspect of Supply Networks (SNs) and addressed two fundamental questions: 1) how do supply networks grow, evolve and emerge and 2) are there simple rules and conditions that impact the growth and emergence process? Building on the conceptual idea of a SN as a Complex Adaptive System, this work focused on understanding this phenomenon based on theoretical foundations from classical network theory, industrial organization theory, market structure theory and game theory. Using a bottoms-up approach, I have shown how individually each theory contributes a piece to the puzzle of SN adaptation and, taken together, the theories unite to create a framework for researching the fundamental processes of SN emergence and evolution. The framework specifies categories of rules that may evoke different behaviors in the two fundamental components of any adaptive supply network, i.e., the environment and the firms in that environment. To show the applicability of the framework, I created a simulation-based model using software agent technology and a grid computing system to investigate the actual and potential emergence of the US automotive industry SN from 1920 to 2000. Using only simple rules and conditions, results conform to Utterback’s theoretical industrial growth curve and to the actual evolution of the US automotive industry over the past 80 years. Interestingly, there also were statistically significant results showing that supply networks grow and emerge based on interactive effects of local decision-making rules and environmental conditions, and that there is an underlying order to the emergence process. Additionally, a rich set of evolutionary patterns on how SNs might have emerged given slightly different initial conditions was observed. Finally, this research developed novel chaos theory analysis techniques for predicting the SN system behavior over time.

Representative Publications

1. Pathak SD , Day J, Nair A, Sawaya WJ, and Kristal M, 2007. Complexity and adaptivity in supply networks: building supply network theory using a complex adaptive systems perspective. Decision Sciences Journal, vol 38(4).

2. Pathak SD, Dilts DM, and Biswas G, 2007. On the evolutionary dynamics of supply network topologies. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, vol 54(4).

3. Dilts DM and Pathak SD, 2007. A methodology for modeling supply network evolution. Journal of Operations Management (Revise and Resubmit).

4. Pathak SD, Dilts DM, and Mahadevan S, August 2007. Analyzing the dynamics of supply network evolution. International Journal of Production Research (Submitted).

Buyer Supplier Relationships in Supply Chains

Simultaneous competition and cooperation behavior (called co-opetition) between a buyer and a supplier has become an interesrting and challenging area of reserach in the Supply Chain Management discipline. I am investigating buyer-supplier and buyer-buyer co-opetition as an evolutionary process, focusing on understanding how different modes of co-opetition evolve, what are the factors that controls this process and what kind of managerial insights could be gained from both buyers and suppliers perspectives. Along with researchers from the Systems and Decision Making group here at Vanderbilt and collaborators from University of South Carolina and University of Washington we have developed a conceptual, simulation and an optimization model for both buyer-buyer co-opetition and buyer-supplier co-opetition. We are using a novel set of analysis techniques such as non-linear time series analysis methods, granger causality technique and hamiltonian optimizations for gaining insights from a decision makers perspective.

Working Papers

1. Pathak SD, Pierce J, McDonald MP, Mahadevan S, November 2007. Analysis of co-opetitive relationship in a buyer-buyer supply chain dyad. Management Science (In preparation).

2. Pathak SD, Nair A, Pathak S, Mahadevan S, December 2007. Evolutionary co-petition in a buyer-supplier dyad. Strategic Management Journal (In preparation).

Policy Optimization in Super Networks

Due to my experience with modeling and analysis of supply networks, I have developed a natural interest in inter-disciplinary networked system research; particularly from a policy design and optimization perspective. Networked systems provide the infrastructure and foundation for the functioning of today's societies. Examples of such systems include: transportation and logistical networks, communication networks, economic and financial networks, and supply chain networks. Such networks often share certain properties, including large-scale nature and complexity, information asymmetry, alternative behaviors of users of the networks, as well as interactions between the networks themselves. Policy decisions in such networks require an understanding of the behaviors of those who use the network system as well as their interaction with the underlying topology/topologies. At the Systems and Decision Making (SDM) group at Vanderbilt I along with my co-investigators employ a multidisciplinary approach that combines decision theory, network theory, reliability theory, and complex adaptive system theory along with mathematical modeling, optimization and advanced agent based simulations for investigating policy design in transportation networks, emergency response networks, avian influenza networks, military supply networks and super networks. I particularly lead resrearch in the areas of:

1. Developing sophisticated agent based models of network systems
2. Surrogate modeling techniques for simulation models. Especially gaussian process models (krigging), polynomila chaos and wavelet based regression methods
3. Analyzing chaotic dynamics in Supply Networks using non-linear time series and computational mechanics approaches.
4. Applying Granger causality analysis for predictive analysis of supply chain time series data.

Working Papers

1. McDonald MP, Pathak SD, Mahadevan S, 2007. Modeling and analyzing system response behavior in a traffic super network with bounded rational users. Transportation Research Record (Submitted).

2. Pathak SD, McDonald MP, Mahadevan S, October 2007. Designing policies for network-centric systems using agent based stochastic optimization methods. Transportation Research Part B.

3. Pathak SD, Dilts DM, Mahadevan S, January 2008. Implications of policy decisions, predator-prey relations and evolution of healthcare Supply Networks. Health Affairs.

4. McDonald MP, Hester P, Pathak SD, Mahadevan S, December 2007. On the equivalence of game theory and operations research. Mathematics of Operations Research.

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Last updated: November 30, 2006.